Survey: AD Holds leadership and holds a majority in parliament
AdvertisementIn the last vote of the Portuguese voting purposes, the last vote of the legislatures on Sunday, AD. Maintains 7% benefit than the Socialist Party. The arrival is the third political force that voted. Elections were invited to May 18, and the elections were called to May 18, with the rejection of the liberal initiative government’s confidence resolution, and the free hike records, the left constituency, the CDU and the PAN are less than 4%.
According to the Polls made by Consulmark 2 Sunrise And Euronows In the last elections, it came close to the final conclusion, except for the free, and the vote trend has been stable in the last two months.
The results of the study between May 6 and 13, led by Louis Mandinigro. Approximately 33.1% of the votes, followed by Pedro Nuno Santos BS 25.9% and 15.7%. The liberal initiative is expected to reach 7.6% of the vote, followed by this last vacancy. The left block is 3.8%, the CDU is 2.8%and the pan is 1.1%. Telephone interview, 589 people were investigated by 283 men and 306 women.
Together, AD And IL. It all depends on the avoidance and distribution of representatives.
These results include unprecedented arithmetic distribution that is already in 19%. The edge of the error is 4%. Without this distribution, 26.5% of respondents said they wanted to vote for AD, and it expressed its desire for the Socialist Party against 20.7%. Already, Andre Ventura and visit 12.6% of the voting objectives, liberal initiatives 6.1% and 4.9% of free. 3.1% of objectives, CDU 2.2% and Pan 0.8%.
One important thing is that the total respondents guarantee that 89% will vote, and 78.1% say they have already decided on the impression of voting. These two values continue to increase in March and early May. Asked if television debates have affected the meaning of the vote, most (66%) guarantees that conflicts are not important in the exam, against 34% of the claim. However, 70% of people believe that they are important to the decision of other voters. The majority said that 60.3%, 2024 and 2025 had been discussed
In the general view of what will be the result, 62% of those who responded in this study were AD. They believe that elections will win with a relatively majority, which is the highest value since March. The vast majority (67.4%) understand that it may be short and not guarantee the stability of governance, and should not make any coalition with the advent of Louis Mandinigro.
About the favorite to occupy the Prime Minister, Louis Montenegro continues to collect the wishes of the respondents: 44.1% of AD.
Country Problems: Health, Housing and Immigration
The status of the National Health Service continues to be the number one of the Portuguese concerns. In the answers to the Consulmark 2 polls Sunrise And Euronows.
Access to housing is the second biggest difficulty faced by the Portuguese, and 37% of the respondents suggest that it is one of the most serious complications of Portugal, although the concern for the issue has declined by 6% at the end of last month.
The third is the list of concerns in this comment study – who can give many answers to this particular question – immigration. Overall, 22.6% say that this is a problem that Portugal discusses. The value has grown since the end of March 2025. So only 9.8% considered immigration as a problem. In the first half of April, the value rose to 11.1%, and the second half of the month already reached 20%.
Overall, 20%of respondents point out that education is the country’s issue, soon weak economic growth (18.2%) and inflation/living cost (17.5%). Social inequality (12.9%), insecurity (11%), the poor quality of politicians (8.7%) and corruption (7.6%) are as follows.
President: Ka Ou Via and Melo maintains leadership
Despite the mild space, Admiral K OU Via and Melo are the favorite of the Portuguese, and won the President of the Republic of the Republic of Marcelo Rebello de Cha Ous. According to a survey of Consulmark 2 Sunrise And EuronowsFormer Armada State Employees Chairperson Bringing 27.7% of voting objectives (1.3% lower than in the end of April) for the presidential elections in January 2026.
The poll was held from May 6 to 13, in an interview with Radio Renaschenia before Henrik Ou Via and Melo were confirmed last Wednesday, and that he would be the presidential candidate of the Republic and that his nomination was officially expected to be officially.
In the second place, the remaining final candidates were promoted from the final candidates, and the Palace Palace has already been officially appointed: Louis Marx Mendis, who is supported by the PSD, is bringing a 16.5% voting objectives.
Below is Andre Ventura on this list. After the announcement of the nomination, the leader withdrew after the fall of the government to focus on the legislative elections, and then the veil did not raise his aims. In this referendum, 7.5% of the Portuguese is preferred.
In the socialist field, voters are divided by 6.1% to prefer Antonio Vitorino against 5.4% of the selection of Antonio Jose Securo without official candidates. The former socialist general secretary has been declining in voting aims since the president began to measure the voting purpose in early April. However, when the direct conflict between the two is measured, there is no doubt that the respondents have no doubt: 41.7% wants Vidorino as a candidate for the Socialist Party.
However, it has been far away since the closed: there are 17.8% of respondents who do not know who will vote.
Interview Jose Constantino Costa: “I don’t know how to think about the majority with a liberal initiative.”
The Technical Director of Consultark 2, responsible for the study, points out that there is a great stability in the Portuguese voting course, and identifies the little details that can determine the end of the elections on Sunday.
Four comment studies on the Portuguese voting objectives for the May 18 elections were created by Consulmark 2 Sunrise_e a Euronows Between the end of March and the first half of May, they show enormous stability in the results.
Jose Constantino Costa, the technical director of the survey that came close to the final results a year ago, compares the current results with the ideas of 2024, identifying the little factors that define the meaning of the vote and the little factors we need to know about the election night.
How do these results compare to those that are one year ago?
There were no major differences… this was only a year. What is going on, on the right, is the advertisement of winning votes at the expense of 2%, 3% losing (which returns home to misuse the misbehavior of some visit representatives). It seems to me that BS will lose the votes on the left, especially one of the winners of the electoral night-the left block will be punished for the theme of the women (these votes must go free), the CDU3, 4% of the CDU 3, 4% will be difficult (can you?). It is impossible to predict whether or not the vice president can be elected, but there are interviewers in the madira’s autonomous region, and they are the JPP.
What conclusions do you make from the latest four vacancies? Is there any trend to highlight?
The results are always very stable. It has already been successful in 2024. From the first vacancy, the results differ very little. AD I don’t know how to win, with a relative majority, but with a liberal initiative. In addition to the amount of percentages to pay 41%, there is a factor that can be determined in these elections: voting – these vote cannot be resolved because everyone says they will vote… one of the best reasons for the election night is affected by whom.
What is the explanation of this stability?
This has spent very little time since the last elections. Leaders remain intact, policies and people have their firm votes. There are no reasons for deciding for a change.
Can the unprecedented number be more decisive?
I don’t know that. In this vacancy we are not determined by 19% (the person who has fallen into an unknown field, does not respond/refuses). By 2024, in the last vacancy, we had 23.5%, and we were not withdrawn from the election results. Let’s see. We are all the most exciting we are on Consulmark 2. I am a guarantee of exit: from the entire group, the interviewers, field supervisors and technicians, working hard and total integrity. I hope there were our respondents.
