Global trade transitions increase economic uncertainty

The “Federal Reserve” conference is expected to be a decisive test for a strong restoration in the American stock market, as investors will suspend their hopes on the Central Bank’s willingness to resume the interest rate course in the coming months.

In this emerging wave, American stocks have been successful in compensating the most risks they have done due to widespread customs duties imposed by President Donald Trump. When Trump announced on those fees on “Tahrir Day”, the 500 index of Standard & Poor recently declined to 1 percent to 1 percent from April 2, leading to the most severe sharp fall and fluctuations in the markets, according to Reuters, according to Reuters.

The “Federal Reserve” indicates the possibility of lowering interest in June, despite extensive expectations that interest rates will not change at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday.

“One of the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) is one of the most available tools to provide immediate support for market activities,” said Dominic Pabaldo’s main strategy of multiple assets in Murningstar Wealth.

But the stress of customs duties adds problems to the accounts of monetary policy authorities, they find themselves before the accurate balance between the hazards of the economic slowdown and the fears that these fees can lead to high inflation.

The recent data showed the hesitation of the American economy in the first quarter of 2025 after 2022. However, analysts have reduced the importance of this brevity, as high imports in the light of companies that want to receive high costs caused by customs duties.

Since last year’s interest was reduced by one percentage point, the Federal Reserve held a reference interest rate in 2025 by 4.25 percent and 4.5 percent. Federal Futures Futures refer to the price of four additional discounts by 25 basis points by December (December), according to the London Stock Exchange data.

Political pressure on the Central Bank has increased, and Trump has criticized the Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell for further economic data for politics. Last month, Trump suggested Powell’s opportunity, which raised market concerns about federal independence, and then before he withdraws the situation.

In this regard, the Chief Investment Strategy in Edward Jones said: “Powell is likely to place his tough dialect at the next meeting at the next meeting, emphasizing the bank’s independence and not affected by political stress from the White House.”

Although the market has made eight consecutive gains, the Standard & Poor’s 500 indicator is without its standard levels in February 9 percent. The index fell 20 percent from the maximum of last month.

Over the past weeks, the results of the companies show better performance than the expected, as “Standard & Poor” in the poor 500, two -thirds of the company exceeded an average of 7.4 percent, compared to a historic average 4.3 percent.

The results of major companies such as “Microsoft” and “Meta” have helped to push the indicators to the top, with investors waiting for the results of next week’s important companies, including “Uber Technologies”, “Valt Disney” and “Conoco Philips”.

Trade consequences are still at the heart of the scene, as most of the current restoration is to reduce trade tensions and progress in negotiations. On April 9, Trump stopped imposing a 90 -day new import fee on many countries, which strongly supported the shares.

“The market is looking for strong trade agreements with our partners … and time is now in favor of experiment.”