UE-UKRAINE Rewustment: What will happen when free access to tariffs ends?
propagandaSince 2022, and Trade between the European Union and Ukraine It is governed by a temporary frame known as Independent commercial measures (ATM). It was presented after the great invasion of Russia, ATMs They have eliminated all definitions And units on Ukrainian agricultural exports to the European Union.
This provides Ukrainian producers vital access to European markets, especially for Agricultural products Like grains, corn, eggs, poultry, and a war economy in the country. but, The ATM system ends tomorrow (June 5) and cannot be renewedIt was already extended once.
Despite the efforts made since the end of 2024, The European Commission did not achieve an alternative Permanent or improved, which left both Ukrainian exporters and European Union political leaders in both the European Union. This delay thwarted many European Union member states, which many expected the committee to be confirmed Sustainable agreement with Ukraine Before the final date is expired.
The political moment did not help: the committee was subject to strong pressure so that it did not exacerbate Internal tensionsEspecially in Poland, where The farmers protested Against the flow of Ukrainian imports. With the already overcoming the Polish presidential elections, Brussels hopes that negotiations For a longer -term trade framework They can finally apply.
Restore customs tariffs
What will happen when the customs tariff exemption system ends?
The most urgent result is to re -introduce definitions to Ukrainian agricultural products. In practice, these commercial conditions between Ukraine and the European Union are restored to The situation before the Russian invasion of 2022With the restoration of customs tariff lines and the units of the times before the ATMs.
According to Ukrainian officials, this The country may cost more than 3000 million euros annually In the lost export income. Since the year is about to finish, the emergency limits will be applied to a base of seven twelve sides of the remainder of 2025, which reflects the low time window relatively.
The effect will be great. In 2024, approximately 60 % of the total exports of UkraineFor a little more than 39 % in 2021, before entering the ATMs. Free access to the European Union markets was a column of Ukraine’s economic resistance in times of war, helping to stabilize currency flows and maintain public financing.
This will also be consequences for the war effort of Ukraine
The loss of preferential access to the markets is not just an economic inconvenience: It can have direct consequences for Ukraine’s ability to Financing your war efforts.
Vitaly Koval, Minister of Agricultural Policy and Ukrainian Food, was highlighted during a rear visit to Brussels on that Agriculture is a greater part of the Ukrainian economy than in the European Union. One in five Ukrainians works in the agricultural sector, and its performance directly affects national income.
The Ukrainian Vice Vice -Karavchak warned that if a solution is not achieved, even partially, a 1 % decrease in GDP can make, making the country’s resources more financial in trouble. “Ukrainian companies have displaced their markets to the European Union. In the event of declining exports, tax revenues decrease, those same taxes that finance our armyTell Euronews.
It is also expected that a tariff re -submitting production prices will also be re -submitted. Increased uncertainty in the market And discouraging private investment, which impedes the long -term recovery and reconstruction efforts.
Correct while a new agreement is negotiated
To avoid a sharp break from commercial flows, the European Commission prepared Transient measures Which will apply after the end of the ATM. These measures were approved two weeks ago by the European Union ambassadors as a precautionary measure, although not all the details have been published yet.
A spokesman for the committee described the transit measures “Bridge” to give time to a more comprehensive review From the free and deep range of trade in the European Union and Ukraine, the long -term trade agreement to which relations were based before the end of the ATM.
The committee announced this Future trade will be based on DCFTA (Free trade areas are wide and deep or, in English, “deep free trade and understanding”), Not in the extension of the ATMs for emergency. This involves a clear change, which disappoints Ukrainian hopes in maintaining the same level from reaching the market they enjoy under the tariff -free tariff system.
Negotiations to officially review DCFTA with a meeting in Brussels on Monday afternoon. Although Details are still rareThe committee spokesman said that there is more clarity that there is more clarity “in the next few days.” On the same day, the European Union ambassadors met to reaffirm the importance of establishing expected trade relations with Ukraine, which guarantees at the same time Protection of European farmersA political sensitive group in many member states.
“It is a very important decision.” “When I hear this, since the large invasion on a large scale, the European Union has spent more on Russian gas and oil that helps in Ukraine -and now we are talking about cutting economic access, which means this Ukraine’s economy will be reduced in times of warThis is a doubtful position, not the link. “
