The war may end, but Ukraine will not be appalled by the defense expert

If the president of Ukraine, Volodmir ZelenskyDecide that the Ukrainian forces will stop fighting in the war, and there is no guarantee that all troops will follow their orders as there are many paramilitary groups in the war.

Evaluation Mariana CallelA geographical political teacher High schoolFrom the Ministry of Defense of Brazil. She believes that these militia and many of them have been trained in the West and broken the military command chains in the country.

In the conversation The test, The consequences of the reorganization of Europe and how the president Donald Trump It has changed the mantra of American politics, “speak smoothly, but take a big club.”

Read the full interview.

The Ukraine war expires in the coming weeks or months.

This ends in the sense that the Russian forces officially leave the territory Russia Win a portion of the territory depending on what is being held. Despite the exit, there is another challenge. Since 2014, the War of Ukraine, especially the paramilitary groups in the east, has been the most effective. Therefore, the legitimate monopoly of the use of Ukraine’s power has been broken. This means that Zelensky does not have a command chain with commander-in-chief and paramilitary groups right now. So it is not enough to say “stop fight” and the groups stop. West set and trained many militia. The war may end officially, but Ukraine will not be calm.

Are there ways to guarantee more permanent peace?

Perhaps the most common form is that it does not try to enter the Ukraine NATO or European Union. It seems to me that Putin has a red song, which is not close to NATO. I agree. Countries have self -determination and they can do what they think of politically practical, but have consequences. Now it does not reduce the Moscow’s attempt to interfere with the internal policy of not only Ukraine but also in the region. I think I am more likely to hurt the Ukrainians. They realize that they are experiencing external interference from Russia anyway.

The use of A is a International force to protect Ukraine. Can it work?

If you think about the lens of conflict, any troops placed on the earth, in a short time, can be overcome by the Russian forces. It was only American troupe, but then the Russia would not bump. It’s like Oton there.

How do you predict this moment when Europe declares Search plans?

I have read a lot about this theme and have different views. There are two ways to live the world in the lens of international relations, the lens and cooperation of controversy. Europe, since the end of World War II, is a war injury, Holocaust, and the struggle between countries that have never seen humanity have never seen, through incentives from the United States, the lens of cooperation. War is not enough to break the logic of cooperation in Europe. France and Germany refused to participate in the latest intervention of the United States in Iraq. However, with the United Kingdom departed from the European Union and Ukraine War, some memories of the conflict lens have returned. Some say that it took a long time to see the world again by the lens of conflict. Others can see him only by the lens of the conflict, even though he has seen it. This is a good thing.

According to the United States, Donald Trump has said that Europe needs to protect itself. What are the consequences of this?

Europe should only look at its own defense from the current United States Initiative. The United States, rhetoric, has left NATO. In practice, we still do not know whether Trump really should leave NATO, but we think so, because he is very kind to Putin. And then Europe should be lagging behind again. Americans have never done so in history because the remembrance of Europe’s memory of Europe is a memory of World War. The Global Alliance system creates world war from European conflicts. So the United States never supported the European reorganization as Trump was doing. However, after World War II, this cooperation of Europeans may have created a friendship that reduces this enemy structure. If there is any rationality in the state of Trump, after 1945, with the cooperation of Europe engaging, it is believed that the back of Europe does not mean world war. However, we now make the growth of ultra -right parties.

How did these parties change the game?

With the growth of Ultra Right parties, we have a break from the party’s political system after 1945. That is, the history of World War II and the nineteenth -century history of the nineteenth century is also forced to leave power through this Ultra Right, which is associated with negative visions of history. For example, when we know that the Soviet Union is associated with Nazism, connect the Soviet Union with Naziism. Or viewing Russia as a theoretical inspiration for the formal and in Germany, as a means of justifying reorganization.

Where does it end up?

What happened Second World WarThis is because these Ultra-Right parties do not trust the cooperative lens of the European Union. So much so that the United Kingdom came out, and there was Brexit. This causes conflict in Europe. It may be necessary as in World War II outside the European system to solve the European problem. In fact a very complex scene.

What did Trump want to break the order created after 1945?

I talked about two lenses that guide international relations, cooperation and conflict. Trump broke up with both of them and adopted the lens of transactions throughout his life. He sees the world in terms of exchanges. In a particular transaction, if he understands that he is losing, he wants to repel this deficit. This is certainly transactions, especially because of the construction, history, and the consequences of the United States, especially because it has an isolation lens. He does not believe in cooperation. Since the United States is militarily very powerful, conflict can only be prevented by the US threat and inhibition. So much so that he does not think that the United States should be involved in the Ukraine war. He is using the weight of US weapons toward the Ukrainian to end the war. Trade for him, a good exchange on his head. T.The American Empire, “Big Stick”: “Talk gently and carry a big club.” This is not just a matter of military force. This is always a matter of smoothly speaking. Subsequently, this phrase is reviewed as we know as a lightweight or soft power. Conquer the effect, hearts and minds. Trump is not worried about getting the hearts and minds, he is the only concern for the club and the dissatisfaction.

This has led to an increase in the world’s anti -American concept.

Have a financial impact. But, as Trump says, it is not possible to make the recipe without breaking the eggs. He believes that this is the cost of changing the United States. So much so that he was damaged, with tariffs, American rural sector, which was his voter, said that it was the moment when it was read.

What can we expect in the coming months in the international scenario?

Great surprises and strangers. Seeing the world and especially in the 20th century, especially in the 1990s, it was a decade at the end of history, in which the United States won the Cold War and had a decade Neoliberal pleasure. It is now the West and not only the world and China and Russia, but also the Western countries questioning liberalism.

What are the reasons for such a deep change?

There are many reasons. The economy is very important. The 2008 crisis is fundamental, and the lack of response in Neolibalism for these questions is very relevant. But the most relevant is the end of a good compatibility between neolibalism and democracy. We have Oligarcis, financial energy owners, no longer trusting this cooperative lens and going to the lens of conflict, and aside the values ​​of equity, diversity, and inclusion for various reasons. One of them has created incentives and challenges for this capital. Today it will no longer produce. In fact, this capital produces the government’s opt that is similar to the United States to establish a specific agenda that no longer cares about this compatibility between democracy and neoliberalism.

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