COP30: "Paris starting position and Bethlehem should return to turn"Diz Natalie Subtel

What to do COP30 Want to be successful in Brazil? Answer and solutions, the world already know: speed up Implementation Actions aligned with a heating limit of 1.5ºC Paris Agreement And fix enough resources toward the transition to a Low Carbon Economy And can cause greater harm to the effects of the protection of the population The weather crisis.

At a press conference, Natalie to to be, President of Talanova, there are 10 mandatory items for this COP edition and two are very relevant The formation of the rule: Achieve the world’s goal of Weather Adaptation And guaranteed to the flow of Investment Suitable for challenging size.

“The less police needed for the celebration is not the time of celebration but Implementation. We should consider Paris as a match and Bethlehem as a turn, ”he said.

In the last edition of the dagger in Azerbaijan, loosen of The final agreement Disappointed and developed countries agreed to achieve Only $ 300 billion for weather financing, Among the dollar trillion is required at home.

Another proposal from Brazil this year to create a “Circle of Presidencies” It represents a new step Climate rule And the possibility of establishing a kind of “Climate Council”, as well as the full full of UN human rights .He

At the headquarters, the COP’s designated president Ambassador Andro Korea Do LagoIt works with Executive CEO Ana Tony and Minister of Environmental and Environmental Change Marina Silva.

The window is small, but optimism is very good

Less than 200 days from United Nations Conference on Climate Change (COP30) In Para capital, experts collected Climate and Society Institute (ICS) “Action window is small and closed quickly” and the largest World weather event Must be overcome Architectural and geographical political challenges Very complicated, Trump’s world influence of actions.

The 13 -year -old scientist Thelma Krug, who has been named as the negotiator at the weather conference Vice President IPCCHe “since the 80s, we broke the recordsAnd emissions“And that” we have no one more inflation yet “, which represents the reason that causes a lot of concern The Scientific Association.

On the other hand, the Optimism is prevalent And the importance of looking at “half full glass” becomes unanimous, in addition to the progress already made.

Preparations in Krug Belem Advance, adopting Brazil a Innovative approach.

“We have a significant established structure. There are very deep consultations and circles for the technology part, Weather financing And overcoming the challenges, ”she explained.

The President of Talanova also stressed the differential of this edition: The Social mobilization. “Belim’s police take people to the streets and social movements bring their demands. Therefore, it is essential to listen to their word.”

Running Cap

A. COP30 Occurs in a crucial time for action. With frequent and severe serious events of growing, The weather crisis It brings many dramatic effects to the population worldwide.

According to Krug, “We have now left the construction stage of the rules and we focus on implementation”, which is the transformation of Brazil “” strongly supported Science“This approach, according to her,” The world expects Brazil to bring this turn. “

In 2024 we were temporarily exceeding a limit of 1.5 ° C, which would not mean its goal Paris Agreement The scientific measurement of the IPCC for global temperature is considered long -term averages – 20 to 30 years.

On the other hand, there is no doubt that we are following in a dangerous trajectory, it grows Weather accidents And it has some impacts that are already irreparable.

Natalie Subdel Strengthens the same perspective, but “Belum normalizes slowdown, but the planet is boiled.” Global Warming.

Science and Economics in Weather Service

Experts are unanimous in highlighting The character of science In the guidance of Climate policies. Krug emphasizes that “science feed to political decisions”, and according to the IPCC, “We are not in the trajectory of limiting the average global temperature to limit the average global temperature, which really reduces the effects Climate change ”.

The current scenario is terrible: “We reached nearly 1.6 ° C (global warming) in 2024,” although “it is not valid to reach 1.5 ° C,” he pointed out.

Economics Professor George Aba at the University of Brasilia brings the financial perspective into the table and points out that the atmosphere affects everyone The fields of the economy.

In February this year, the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and The Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders of the World Economic Forum (WEF) pointed out Climate change is more than disaster US $ 3.6 trillion (approximately R 21 trillion) Financial losses and passive from the beginning of the 2000s can cause losses of up to 22% of the GDP.

For experts, the economy helps the environment. “One of the ways to speed up Decarbonization Making all over the world Green Investments Be profitable and provide socially benefits along with the weather schedule, ”Abache said.

In the case of Brazil, there are many competitive advantages: reproductive energy matrix and abundance Nature -based solutions And others “powerful form Decarbonize By more attractive business ”.

According to Abacch, a good example of a transformed country of China Business Schedule And became the leader in Electric cars and reproductive technologies. “Chinese pragmatism proves to be much smaller than sacrifice, they make money from it and do homework well,” he said.

Geographical political challenges and lack of US

One of the most important challenges COP30 Will be Geographical political tensions, Expert opinion. Although Abacch warns ” Europe and China Follow the atmospheric agenda, follow the US freezing against Trump’s actions “and” evolve in business chain and ” Green Economy“.

On your opening day, US President has already left the Paris Agreement And showed up to “come” with a series of actions Anti -Climate. Currently, the US is the largest issuer in the world and its revenge from the UN negotiation table has caused a strong fear due to possible reactions .

In this challenge and complex scenario, for the required change of narrative by Aba: ” ESG Agenda Focusing on issues such as national security and economy should be new positions with the renewal of various actions The weather“He ended up.

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