Advertisement without the majority, increases and the left ‘tramboolho’ on the left – Projection SIC/Expressio

SIC/Express Projection
ISC/ISCTE/GFK Metris to SIC and Expresso’s projection announcement, however, does not even get a majority with IL. PS and highlight for the entire left fall, in contrast to arrival, increases the number of commands and also exceeds the PS.
Miguel A. Lusa/Lusa
With the closure of the URNs, the projection of the voting intention of ISC/iscte/GFK Metris gives AD – PSD/CDS coalition and gives the defeat of the PS, which is in the back of the trash scenario.
SIC/Expresso victory as per projection The ad will vary between 30.3% and 34.7%It corresponds to the middle 82 and 94 words (currently 80).
Behind PS at least 21.6% and a maximum of 25.8% – It is much lower than March 28, 2024 – due to 56 to 66 orders. The number of shocking with the current 78 socialist assistants.
There will be another one of the winnings of this election night The result of arrival, to ensure the best scenes of SIC/Express ProjectionPS can also be over. Let’s see: Ventura can raise the party Between 19.9% and 24.1% of the votesConquering between 55 and 65 words in Parliament (50).
A. The fourth political force remains the Liberal Initiative (IL). With a slightly defined result, at the moment. That is, liberals may have a worse result than a year ago. SIC/Express gives the result between projection 4.2% (less than 4.94% in 2024) and 7.4%It corresponds to 6 and 12 words – currently there are 8 aides in IL.
May be another one of the night winners Rui Tawares is free, it is between 3.3% and 6.5% – Above 2024 (3.16%) – and maintains four aides at garbage hypotheses and best reaches 10 words.
From here ‘tramboolho’ left on the left CDU with a percentage between 1.4% and 4.0 – one to four wordsThat is, the best scenario maintains the current four words, however The left block. From 1.0% to 3.6%. One to four words will not go beyondReaching the best expectations in Parliament will lose a place.
Oh Pan, by Ines Sousa Real, conquered between 0.5% to 2.5% – between zero and two assistants – And risk, as the latest election points out, will be left out of the assembly of the Republic.
A. The night surprising is the entrance of the parliament for the people (JPP). SIC/Express projection gives the result between 0.2% and 0.8%, which may be compatible with a command.
Technical file
ICS/ISCTE/GFK Metris Pole for SIC on May 18, 2025, with the aim of identifying the republic’s assembly election vote by 2025.
The universe with voters involved in the Election Act in Portugal. With the collection by the ballot box vote simulation, there are 22,056 interviews collected in 27 parishes in the sample.
The margin of the error, for a 95%confidence break, +/- 0.66%.