IMF reduces global growth assessment after Trump tariffs
AS Import tariffs The President was imposed Donald Trump The global economy leads to less growth, pointed out The International Monetary Fund (IMF)In a report released on Tuesday, 22nd. The effect of the United States in particular is high.
The world’s largest economy is expected to grow from 2.7% to 1.8% this year. The previous estimate was released in January before the start of the Trump administration. By 2025, the viewpoint for the global economy was reduced from 3.3% to 2.8%. A of a China Fell from 4.6% to 4%.
For BrazilBottom The country points out to be 2%. The last hint, in January, was 2.2%higher.
“We hope that the mild growth of tariffs and uncertainty is a significant slowdown in short -term global growth,” he said Pierre-Olivier GuruchasIMF Chief Economist in the report.
“Tariffs refer to a negative shock to the economy, as resources can be converted to the production of non -competitive goods, resulting in total productivity, low financial activity and high costs and production prices.” “In addition, in the medium season, by reducing competition, tariffs increase the market power of domestic producers and reduce incentives for innovation.”
Complex chains
The IMF pointed out that the effects of tariffs are being expanded by the existence of complex global supply chains. “Most of the goods are transformed into the ultimate products before transforming into the ultimate products. The sectors will spread as we have seen during the pandemic. We will also review our projection for global trade growth, and this year’s global trade growth, this year, with a short restoration, the background is a short restore.”
The report believes that the uncertainty around trade is also an important aspect of discouraging our outlooks. “Due to increasing uncertainty about the market access – giving their own and their suppliers and customers – to give a interval of many companies, reducing investment and shopping. Similarly, the financial institutions will re -examine their credit supply to companies until the financial institutions are predicting a new environment.” Its reflection, according to the fund, is the current decrease in the price of oil.
The Fund recommends that countries can re -resume the functional and ABLE -notable global trade system to take steps to eliminate obstacles and conflict between countries.
Look at the growth expectations of the global economy
Pib Global
2025 – 2,8
2026 – 3
Brazil
2025 – 2
2026 – 2
USA
2025 – 1,8
2026 – 1.7
China
2025 – 4
2026 – 4
Euro Zone
2025 – 0,8
2026 – 1,2
Japan
2025 – 0,6%
2026 – 0,6%
United Kingdom
2025 – 1,1%
2026 – 1,4%
Mexico
2025 – -0,3%
2026 – 1,4%
India
2025 – 6,2%
2026 – 6,3%
