The Indus Water Agreement has been suspended, but how long does India long to bring down Pakistan? .
Prime Minister Narendra Modi said this after the URI attack in 2016, saying, “Blood and water cannot be merged,” said 18 Indian soldiers were killed. At that time he refers to the Indus water contract. Since then, Pakistan has not taken any action against terrorism, despite the crisis of the agreement, India has not stopped it yet. But on April 22, the terrorists targeted tourists in Kashmir’s Pahalgal, of which 26 died. After this, India has postponed the Indus Water Agreement for the first time.
What will happen to the Pak’s Control Rivers?
India has decided to stop the agreement until Pakistan takes stern action against terrorism beyond the border. This retaliation from New Delhi, which is considered a decisive moment in India-Pakistan relations, also creates some important questions. India has now banned the Indus Water Agreement under the control of Pakistan by the Indus Sindhs in the Western rivers (Indus, Senap and Jelam), so what is the fact that the water of these rivers is? Can India really stop it and use this water for itself? When will India close the water supplied to Pakistan by constructing many dams?
Read: ‘India has completed the Indus Water Agreement, we are ready for war’, Pakistan’s Home Minister
However, experts say that India has legal and diplomatic opportunity to create an infrastructure to save and water in the western rivers. But the creation of existing infrastructure barriers and large -scale plans is less capable of distracting the water heading to Pakistan.
What is the meaning of the agreement for Pakistan?
Pakistan uses about 93% of the water of the Indus River system for irrigation and power generation and about 80% of the neighboring country depends on its water. Agriculture plays an important role in Pakistan’s economy. Bhuto’s threat by Pakistan People’s Party leader Bila shows how important the Indus water system is to be Pakistan. Bhutto said, “One will flow our water in it or their bleeding.”
Expert Brahma Seelani wrote X on Wednesday, “India has been carrying the burden of the Indus water contract for 65 years. Following the Indus Water Agreement, India has used its 33 million acres (MAF) mainly for irrigation and hydropower generation in Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan, which is mainly the Eastern rivers Ravi, Beas and Sutlej. According to a 2019 report of the Times of India, major infrastructure such as the Sutlezil Bakra Dam, the Pong Dam in Piyas and the Ranjit Sagar Dam in Ravi has helped India use 95% of its allotted water.
India does not use Western rivers
India’s use in the western rivers is very low, which has been limited to 850 MW construction projects such as 330 MW Kishankanga and Hydro Power Projects, which do not disrupt the flow of rivers in Pakistan. Despite the ability to use their water effectively due to the mountainous terrain of the western rivers, India’s current storage capacity is zero, which is defined by contract restrictions.
The water capacity in the rivers of the Himalayas is very high, more than 150,000 MW, and their slopes are intense, the flow is perennial and appeared from appearance.
What will be the change by postponing the contract?
By postponing the contract from India, India will be allowed to remove these obstacles and find new storage and distracting options. However, the current hydro power infrastructure of India controls its ability to use or prevent a significant amount of water in the Western rivers.
Therefore, the suspension of the Indus Water Agreement from India is no longer needed to inform Pakistan about the plans of Western rivers, or no data, or does not consider the arrival of Pakistani authorities, which will effectively stop cooperation under the agreement. ‘Indian Express’, former Indian Commissioner of Indus Water Affairs, P.K. Saxena cites this.
Pakistan’s approval is not required
Citing the newspaper Saxena, he said, “India can be snatched in the Kiwishana project, which will increase the life of the dam.” He said this is a method used to clean the edges of the reservoirs, which helps to clean the soil by pushing the water downwards. The silt deposited at the bottom of the dam is usually removed every 5-10 years or uses methods such as drinking or sluming. In addition, Pakistan does not receive information on drought or flood threat, as it does not provide information on water flow in advance.
News Agency Asked if India had the ability to divert or save the three western rivers, he said that the strategic affairs expert and senior colleague Sushant Sarin in ORF said that at this time, it was technically yes, but not practically.
There is no problem in the project now
Sarin wrote in X, ‘Not immediately. But we can build our construction dams without Pakistan’s blockage and ensure that Pakistan can stop water when needed. At the same time, you may begin to create more reservoirs and other structures to turn the water/path, although this is only possible in a few years.
India cannot immediately change the water flow that leads to Pakistan without adequate infrastructure in the Western rivers. Did India prepare plans for the rivers of the West Indus Basin? Yes, before the Indus water contract was suspended, India was developed under several planned and construction projects to increase the use of water on Western rivers and its sub -rivers. However, these projects focus on hydroelectricity without large storage reservoirs.
Large projects in the River Senap and Ravi
The main projects include the Senap’s sub -river in Jammu and Kashmir, Radle (850 MW), Senapil Gerru (624 MW) and Senapil Question (1,856 MW) of Hydro Power Projects. But the existing winter projects in the western rivers and its sub -rivers save a little water. For example, the Kishanganga Hydro Power Project’s reservoir on the Kishanga of the Jeelam River savings is about 18.35 mcm water.
According to the Daily Excelsier in Jammu, the UJH multi -purpose project on Ravi’s sub -river will produce 925 MCM irrigation and total storage capacity for electricity. The total water capacity of the Radle Hydro Electric Project Dam built on the Senap River is 78.71 mcm. According to Tribune’s report, the Sharburgandi Dam, which is now ready to be built in the Ravi River, has helped India to distract about 1,150 cuuse water for irrigation, which has previously been swept away in Pakistan.
India will work in three phases
Therefore, the joint savings capacity of existing and upcoming projects in the Western rivers and their sub -rivers is simple, which is a few hundred million cubic meters, especially the Eastern rivers, such as the Eastern rivers, such as the Bakra, Pong and Ranjit Sagar Tom, which helps India collectively use its 33 mAF parts. With the infrastructure of the western rivers and its sub -rivers, India can only save a portion of water flowing in Pakistan.
Read: How much loss at the end of the Indus Water Agreement, how much loss will be affected by Pakistan
While these dams are not stored in these dams, the situation has released India from some sort of bonding after the Bahlkam attack. In the meantime, the center has developed three-step plans to prevent the water flowing of the Indus River in Pakistan by increasing the capacity of the dams in the rivers of the Indus basin. On April 25, this information was provided to India.
Open Option to Get out of Agreement
At a time when the report was written to his Pakistani opponent a day ago, he illustrates India’s long -standing demand for Pakistan’s refusal to consider the Indus Water Agreement.
Strategy expert Sellani believes that there is another way to India on the Indus Water Agreement. Sindhu wrote X on Friday, “India has a desire to legally out of the Indus Water Agreement. Section 60 of the Vienna Conference on the Law of Contract allows a state to stop or exit in the event of a state of violation from the other side.
India can change the conditions
India has made it clear that if it does not leave, it will certainly review the contract. Due to the challenges such as complex landscape, financial channels and environmental approval, the projects planning to implement the central government can face long deadlines from 5 to 10 years to 10 years. The most recent dams in the hillses of India include Kishanganga, Pakal Dul and Nimu Bajko, each of which has been built for 5 to 11 years.
As for the western rivers and their sub -rivers, upstream, the Indus River controls a lot of control in the flow of water, which directly affects Pakistan. While the rainy season encourages India to extract extra water, it will cause problems for Pakistan during the drought, as India stops its use.
But the suspension of the Indus Water Agreement opens a gate to launch long -term infrastructure projects for India, which may increase the control of New Delhi in the Indus Hindu River, which depends on 25% of Pakistan’s GDP and will help meet its growing domestic water and energy requirements.
