Agriculture: GDP growth projection by 2025 ranges from 2.5% to 2.3% – | The economy

The Ministry of Finance has reduced the growth of Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2.5% to 2.3% this year. The estimate of 2026 dropped from 2.6% to 2.5%. This information is located in the Parameter Grid published by the Secretariat of Economic Policy (SPE) on Wednesday.

Despite the deductions, the folder estimates are significant than the Focus Report Mediums, which indicates 1.99% GDP by 2025 and 1.60% in 2026.

“After the estimated acceleration in the first quarter of the margin, the GDP is slow, the second part is close to stability,” said SPE on 2025. Commercial and geographical political tensions in the world. “

The farm expects a growth of 1.5% to GDP in the first quarter, after a 0.2% increase in the fourth quarter, in the first quarter. After a decline in 4.5% in the previous quarter, agricultural GDP should increase 12.8% growth.

“This strong progress of agricultural GDP echoes the hope of high soybean, maize and rice production in 2025, grains in the first quarter,” SPE said.

The acceleration of these folder services (0.2% to 0.3%), minimum wage adjustment and dragged through agricultural activities, declining in the industry GDP (0.2% to -0.2%), associated with decrease in the transformation industry.

Despite the margin acceleration, the SPE hopes that GDP growth in mutual comparison is cooling, from 3.6% to 3.0% in the fourth quarter. In the supply side openings, the folder provides agro recovery (-1.5% to 11.0%) and decline in the industry (2.5% to 2.2%) and services (3.4% to 2.1%).

When the accumulation of this year, the SPE estimates 6% of the agricultural GDP, 2.2% of the industry GDP and 1.9%.