The Ayas of -Season is more than the Expected in 2025, Sector | The economy

In the traditional off -season, the price rise and fruit shortage, which can be expanded in 2025, can be expanded in 2025. The weather and logistics factors are still affecting the production restoration, and the experts and representatives of this sector have pointed out uncertainties about providing for the coming months.

According to Nathil Mores, the Director of Research and innovation at the Instituto Aka, the 2025 crop repeats the delay in the last year as a result of the effects of El Ni నో o and high temperatures.“It becomes casual in early May and June, already starting the crop, but last year’s delay, and the trend will be delayed again,” he explained.

In the last off -season, the illustration is very difficult for producers. A long drought and extreme heat combination has been compromised for the development of fruit, many of which are still dry in palm trees. As a result, there is a significant decrease in the income of families that are widely interval and extraction in production.

Slowly recovering and pressure on demand

“We have already begun to observe recovery signs, but still slowly. The last off -season is very serious – the product has fallen 30% – and most people are still recovering from water pressure, which takes one to two years to normalize.”

Excessive demand, especially in beleme, is also expected to pressure the COP30, even prices.

In addition, producers face structural difficulties such as intermediaries dependence and instability in transit logistics.“These factors make this process more expensive and reduce income in rural areas. The attached to it is anxious with sustainability, as the volume pressure stimulates the formation of monocircuits, threatens the quality of ACAI in the long run.”

The Volume Expected below after the holy week

From the Rochinha Junior, the Association of the Ayas Production Chain of Belem, the current scene is still a shortage.“There is still a shortage. The climate has changed a lot. The absence may have a little more,” he said.

Unlike last year – when the volume increases for a period of time after the Holi Week – this year’s expected volume is not verified. Export, increased, should also be affected by local supply.“Export Cap gives a headache. Unfortunately, we will suffer a little,” he said.

Rochinha also pointed out the economic impact of the crisis for small traders:“On average, each scout has a loss between 30 to 50 thousand people. Most commercial points accumulate debts because they cannot afford ACAI in size or pay to suppliers.”

For him, the recovery depends directly on the weather:“If we have at least two weeks of sunlight, the volume will increase a lot. But we must remember that the Belem is no longer produced as a previous one – this fruit comes from Makapa.”

Optimism in handmade sellers

Carlos Alberto, president of the Association of Artisanal’s sellers, performed a further optimistic view of Ayas de Belem (Awabel). He noted that the supply was normal.“We entered May and we started the product. From next week, the product should be sorted,” he said.

According to him, the ACAI price has begun to fall: “Last week, in early April, Makapa Ekai was from $ 150 to $ 160. Now it is between $ 135 and $ 140.”

Reduction, according to Carlos Albero, reflects the opening of the generalization of the supply, which, in turn, can also reduce the weight in the pocket of consumers and traders.

Two clients don’t have a bag

According to the Daissa Supervisor Everson Costa, the hope at the end of each off -season is a balance in prices, but he warned that the process was slow.

“ACAI prices are declining, but this is the process of speeding only after June,” he explained.

Currently, the price is even higher in April. Second Everson:“April still brings drought in the product price. Our expectation is that in May we will start at least with the balance, and then, who knows, has a drop.”

Economist believes that atmospheric variable price is directly affecting the construction: “Last year, the ACAI crop has been the worst in recent years due to the drought. So much so that the off -season has been ATED: ACAI is already expensive, in fact it will only begin in October or November.”

For daises, the decrease in the price of ACAI depends on weather behavior and production results in the coming months.