Less young people, less labor: challenges of the labor market in Para | The economy
Brazil’s old age and labor market already experiences its effectsReveals data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). With less births, more longevity and more urbanization, the country’s age pyramid, which has a wide base and narrow top in the past – is typical in young and low developed countries – begins to reverse.
The transformation of this population is already taking place in Brazil and directly affects the job market. In Para, this change occurs slowly compared to other Brazilian states, but the effects are already noticeable: Young people still refer to the majority of the active age population, but are having trouble entering in official and good conditions.
Brazil is becoming – and the market feels
According to the IBGE, the life expectancy in Brazil increased to 76.4 years in 2023, which was 76.2 years old. Women on average 79.7 years and men to 73.1 years. This progress has contributed to a sharp decrease in the rate of fertility – today a 97 child – the country’s population profile has been significantly changed.
Ibge Economist and analyst Louis Claudio Martin’s explained that this transformation will intensify in recent decades. “Brazil is more likely to be more mature from a country by a young population,” he said. He explained that this scenario has contributed to health progress, access to more female education, urbanization and contraceptive practices.
This change directly affects the labor market. So -the population of the country is coming out of the bonus – most of the population is economically active (15 to 64 years). With fewer young people entering the market and retiring more, there is an imbalance between the support and the social security system. “If active individuals are reduced, the account will not be closed. It will press the system and compromise the pensions funds”Warns the analyst.
Para’s population image
Although breeding rates are higher than the national average, para is also in the transformation. According to the 2022 census, there are 8.12 million inhabitants in the state today. Population of the 15 to 29 -year -olds: Approximately 1.39 million people represent 17% of the total population. The 15-17-year-old has been added to 439,800 young people, 286,900 people between 18 and 19 years, and another 707,800 and 24 years.
According to data from the Institute’s Civil Registry Statistical Research, in 2023, in 2023, a reference year, 132,169 births were recorded in the state, of which 19.2%of mothers were 19 years old – northern region (18.6%) and more than national (11.8%). On the other hand, only 27.6% of mothers aged 30 or older have reported that this percentage in Brazil is 39%, normal, maternity postponement in other areas, and slowly further the state.
The structure of this young population is a momentary comparative purpose. “It is good for the economy because we can work more people, especially young people, to work”Louis assesses Claudio Martin’s.
Faces youth obstacles in the labor market
For the analyst, challenge today, however, It is turning this ability into an active workforce. Data from the continuous PNAD of the 2025 1st quarter, which shows that 115,000 young people aged 18 to 24 years old have been evacuated in Parabha – almost a third of the 364,000 unemployed in the state. In addition, 78,000 can be subcurized in potential labor force and 46,000 people without having enough hours to work. This means that 239,000 young people do not use it in some way.
The informal rate is also concerned: Para is the second largest in the country57.5% of workers represent 2.2 million people without an official agreement or CNPJ. Of these, 92 thousand young people are 14 to 17 years of age, 323 thousand people aged 18 to 24, from 790 thousand to 25 to 39 years and 803 thousand 40 to 59 years.
According to the IBGE, they are part of the unofficial workers’ group, their own account without a signed portfolio, private sector employees and domestic workers and owners without CNPJ and auxiliary family workers.
The state of the state has reached 22.6%, which has influenced over 1 million people. One of the hardest hit groups of young people aged 18 to 24, insertion, less qualified and some formal employment opportunities.
In this scenario, many young people choose to work in autonomous jobs as content creators in transport apps, delivery or social networks, but with no contribution to social security. “In the short term it is beneficial for young people, but in the long run these people do not have access to retirement, for example,” Explains the Martines.
Losses and ways
Lack of opportunities, unauthorized and low income – in the state average R $ 2,499 and R $ 3,451 in Belem (PNAD) – compromises economic and social development.
In strategies that reduce the effects of population transformation, Louise Claudio points out: investments in basic and technical education for young people. Democracy of access to new technologies such as artificial intelligence. Government birth incentives such as day care centers, licenses and parenting support. Included social security version, which treats new work patterns and promotes autonomous and digital workers.
