Recently dollar weakening, it came R $ 5.64 last Wednesday (19/03)Oh Less value in five monthsBegins to bring Reactions for Para’s financial sectorEspecially in imported products such as foods, construction materials and consumer goods. However, the The effects are gradual E. Will change according to the sectionReflecting both benefits and challenges to local traders. The roots heard heard by the Liberal Group indicate that this phenomenon is A A combination of internal and international factors Although it is optimistic, care is required.
Dollar dollars: context and effects of currency
In recent months, US currency has recorded a series of waterfalls, establishing the current exchange rate dollar R $ 5,64Reached last Wednesday, March 19Oh Less value from October 2024.
R $ 6.20 damaged during vacation has made many imported products significantly expensive. Now, with the reduction of currency, it is expected that it will translate to the fields of supermarkets, bakery and retail.
According to Mário titoWere, and,, and,, and,, and,.. Economist and doctor in international relationsThe variation of the exchange rate reflects global dynamics and trade.
“The price of the dollar is influenced by this currency supply and demand in the international market. When the country exports more than it is, the dollar admission will increase, which will reduce the value of US currency in Brazil,” Tito explained.
He adds it Brazil’s financial stability It has helped to appreciate the reality against the dollar, which has made the country an attractive destination for international investors.
“The investor Loves the danger, but he hate uncertainty. That is, when a particular country goes through volatility, it is very common for the investor to bring his money here. On the other hand, when the country is stable, the money comes because investors come, ”he said.
For the economist, the Dollar price reflects and asks for the supply market demand. “All that is rare is expensive. That is, when a product in the market is too low, its price is rising. It is done with the dollar. When the dollar is expensive, I mean I will spend more than $ 1.”
Effects on Supermarkets: Imported products get a fall trend
George PortugalPresident The Parayens Association of Supermarkets (quotes)The dollar declines that the prices of imported products have direct reactions.
“Although this is not an immediate effect, Trend Prices of goods such as OilWere, and,, and,, and,, and,.. Cod E. Wheat.
According to him, The effect will be more likely to be over the next monthPurchasing with very little quotation reflect on shelves.
However, according to Portugal, it is important to note it Not all products also suffer from currency diversity. Most of the foods that reach the para supermarkets come from local production or from nearby states, which will limit the immediate impact of the dollar on prices, the President said.
Still, expect a tendency of customers Gradually reduction In imported goods.
CEASA and local products: the minimum effect of currency
Denivaldo PinhiroTechnical Director The bottleIt points out that there is a dollar fall The lower effect In food prices that sold in the warehouse.
“The bottle is mainly supplied with products of other parts of Brazil, and the imported goods do not even represent 2% of the total diet we sell.”
Therefore, according to him, the value of the dollar’s value should not be significantly affected by the cost of basic foods such as fruits, vegetables and vegetables, which depend on supply and internal demand.
Bakery: Low price in brown and derivative products
In the bakery field, expectation is a little hopeful. Andre CarvalhoPresident Bakery of Para (Syndipan/PA) and the Union of the candy industry.
“We hope it will translate it into more affordable prices for products obtained from this raw material,” said Carwalho.
For him, if the value of whole grains decreases, it directly affects the prices of brown -derivative products, benefiting the bakery sector and consumers.
Corwalho cites about products that have the highest price decline BreadWere, and,, and,, and,, and,.. Cakes E. CookiesThe price of wheat follows the fall of US currency.
Construction Equipment: The reflection of the dollar fall does not seem yet
While some sectors have already begun to visualize the effects of dollar drop in the construction equipment market, the situation is different.
Hervelto BastosPresident ACOMAC/PA (Association of Traders of Para State’s construction materials)He said reducing US currency would not reduce the prices of sector products.
Bastos argues that “the construction equipment market is greatly affected by multinational corporations. They take advantage of real appreciation to reduce prices. When the currency is reduced, we will not experience proportionate reduction in prices.”
Retail: Shoppers will see the opportunity with dollar’s downfall, but with short -term challenges
In retail trade, the outlook is more optimistic, although with some care. Eduardo YamamotoPresident Scindilozas (the union of the retail trade and the shopkeeper of Belem)The dollar is expected to lead to cheap imported products.
“Tools, furniture and automotive materials can reduce their prices, which will benefit retailers and consumers,” Yamamoto said.
However, he warned that most retailers still work with a list of high prices, which slows down prices.
“We guide our peers to maintain competitiveness in the market and provide customers as soon as possible.”
Reactions in foreign trade: is still attractive to small dollar exports
Everson CostaTechnical supervisor Dice/PaAlthough the dollar has fallen, Brazil is still maintaining a positive trade balance, which means that national products are attractive in the foreign market.
“The demand for products such as soy, coffee and meat, for example, still maintains high prices, because the dollar, even with the downfall, is beneficial to international buyers,” Costa said.
Therefore, the reduction in the US currency is a A limited impact on the domestic market, This is because increasing external demand can maintain higher prices.
“We are talking about the fluctuations of American currency, perhaps this moment does not have such an impact or brought down the results of the food price fall,” he said.
