Avian Flu: Government technicians see limited and temporary drop in chicken and egg prices | The economy
A. The diagnosis of The first focus of the avian flu Ten days ago on a commercial farm in Brazil And suspending poultry exports to 38 destinations can lead to a decrease in prices of chicken and egg meat in the country. This estimate is from technicians belonging to the government agricultural and financial team. However, the movement must be temporary, reporting the roots BroadcastingReal -Time News System of State Group.
Technicians who hear the report explain that chicken and egg prices will yield the first yield in the domestic market due to the temporary increase in the local offer. Due to the current limits on the Brazilian chicken, part of the untreated volume is sent to the local retail, which can press the quotes of poultry products, especially the chicken and egg meat.
The sources said that the fall in the domestic market should be in a state of time without a significant decline in values.
However, this movement should be extended to a maximum of three months, adjusting the PINTS accommodation for the current demand. “After this early -time period stress, a tendency for stability in chicken and egg prices,” said a technician along with government actions to address food inflation. Recalling another interlocker, the industry has temporarily stores the frozen chicken cargo, already checked and is ready for export, limiting the effect on chicken and egg prices.
Technicians share the reading from the financial team. Despite the recent cooling, a communicator recalled that chicken meat prices and eggs would accumulate inflation in the last twelve months. The numbers of the April National Consumer Price Index (IPCA), the recent, show a decrease of 0.82% in full chicken prices, but 2.59% of the highest collection in twelve months. The eggs have already recorded 0.30% with a withdrawal of prices in April compared to March, but 4.16% in twelve months.
Market economists contacted Broadcasting In the coming months, they will bet with 0.05 and 0.10 percentage points in the IPCA, as many countries stop the import of chicken meat in Brazil. The restrictions imposed on the National Chicken’s goods should bring short -term inflation relief, depending on the possibility of distributing the supply to the domestic market. However, with the onset of exports, they pointed out the “rebound” effect on chicken meat prices.
The industry already predicts that there will be no pressure on the chicken price, as the offer has already been adjusted. Ricardo Santin, president of the Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA) Broadcasting At this time, the domestic market did not expect pressure on chicken meat prices, but the country was unable to export its product to many countries, but the avian flu was focused on the Goucha Commercial Guocha. According to him, despite occasional variations, the current scene is still adjusted.
Agriculture Minister Carlos Fevaro also says that there is no “relevant effect” of avian flu on chicken and egg prices, considering temporary suspension of export to many countries. “10 to 15 days of chicken meat may be high, but we see stability,” he said at a recent press conference. He cited 70% of the national chicken production and the fact that 30% will be exported to the domestic market. “Chicken meat should be stability in prices and eggs, because 70% are already in the domestic market,” he said.
