Parana Research: At S, Lula Michelle is lost with Bolsonoro and tied to Tarsicio | Method

President Luiz Inacio Lula Lula Da Silva (PT) has been defeated by President Luiz Inao Lulawa (PT), who has been defeated by Torsocio de Freetas (Republic) in the state of Espirito Santo in the state of the Republic in 2026.
In the first-scale scenario against the former first woman, Lula got 29.8% of voting intentions, while Michelle Bolsonoro came from 38.5%. In this simulation, former minister Siro Gomes (PDT) appears with 10.1%voting intentions, Parana, Ratinho Junior (PSD) Governor 4.8%, and Governor Ronaldo (Union), 3.2%. Of the interviewers, 8.6% said they would vote for empty or vacuum and did not respond to 4.9%.
In the scenario with the already Tarsicio de Freetas, President Lula has 29.8% voting motives and torsey, 30.4%. These percentages configure the technical draw, taking into account the margin of a 2.6 percent point of research.
Still in this simulation, Siro Gomes appears 10.5%, Rathinho Junior 6.6%and Ronaldo Cayado 2.5%. In addition, 13.7% of respondents declare an empty or vacuum vote, and 6.1% are unaware of or dislikes to give their feedback.
The survey also tested a scenario between President Lula and former President Jair Bolsoro (PL), who was disqualified from 2030 through the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) decision. In this simulation, Bolsonaro wins the controversy with 46.1% of the voting, 29.5% for Lula. Then Siro Gomes, 8.9%, Junior Mouse, 3%, and Ronaldo Caido, with 1.4%. White or vacuum votes add up to 7.4%, and 3.5% of respondents say they do not know or dislike not to give their opinion.
The majority in the ES denies Lula’s administration
In addition, the survey also showed how Capixabas assesses the Federal government. According to data, 57.2% of Esprito Santo voters did not accept president Lula’s management, saying 39% would accept their administration.
In the analysis divided by the population profile, the refusal of Lula’s administration is more common in men, with 61.8% denial. In women, Lula has a 42.4% approval rate against 53.1% denial.