Despite the interest, the GDP in 1st tri should increase more than 1%; Dado comes out on Friday
Oh Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) Announced next Friday (30) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) In the first quarter of 2025.
According to the Central Bank’s Economic Activity Index (IBC-BR), the Brazilian economy must be 1.3% in the first three months of the year. The indicator is considered “GDP preview”.
Considering the month of March, the Brazilian economy increased by 0.8%. This month’s reading is on top of the financial market analysts.
In the evaluation of Gilwan Bueno, the columnist CNN moneySurprised the IBC-BR market in the first quarter, showing the elasticity of the Brazilian economy even in the wake of high interest rates, At 14.75% per year.
The IBC-BR said that Brazilian economic growth should lead to agriculture mainly.
View sector performance released by IBC-BR:
- Agriculture: 6.1%;
- Industry: 1.6%;
- Services: 0.7%.
Decrease
Although data suggests that the Brazilian economy is on the rise, the Financial Market and Central Bank Project compared to the last year, compared to the last year, When it is 3.4%.
In the monetary policy report released in March, the Bonco Central 1.9% to revised GDP. In the previous report, it is 2.1%.
According to the minute of the BC Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) last meeting The contraction policy has already contributed to the growth control of the Brazilian economy.
Such effects can be expected by college to target inflation and require, which is 3%, tolerance interval up to 4.5%.
“The Committee has analyzed various monetary policy routes and the compulsory monetary policy is already expected to have an impact on the credit market, business probes, exchange market, balance sheets, as well as some operational indicators and employment market.”
In an interview CNN moneyChief Economist Mariana Costa at Mire Asset, expecting the most strong performance of the Brazilian economy in the first quarter Agribusiness record. But the expert assesses the change in this trend by 2025.
Last year, the GDP was surprised by market expectations and. The first Focus Bulletin Brazilian economy was estimated to increase 1.59% of the year by the Central Bank in 2024.
