Analysis: Understand Trump’s proposal about dividing Ukraine
The Russian war is entering the crucial moment against Ukraine.
US President Donald Trump, according to what CNN He reported on Friday (25), surprised with difficulty in fulfilling his promise to end the war and was bored.
Russia first attacked Russia in 2014 that he wanted to give Ukraine’s territories instead of peace, especially Crimea.
The Russians control about 20% of Ukraine, most of which may be lost with the current proposal of Americans.
The US is considering Identify Crimea as part of Russia, Although its outlet is contrary to international law.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has to do all, in the eyes of Trump, quit the fight.
Putin will be rewarded for attacking Ukraine if the number of territories can be officially managed. The US has threatened to remove the country’s support if Ukrainian president Volodmir Zelensky does not give it.
The Ukrainians spoke to Americans and Europeans in London, informing them of the version of their plan, in which a ceasefire would be before any discussion about the handing of a ceasefire.
Trump and Zelensky went to the funeral Pope Francis in Rome this weekend.
If there is progress to peace, if the entire two -way process explodes or inertia is settled, it will be clear in the coming days.
Meanwhile, hostility continues. The Russian General was killed in a bomb car near Moscow on Friday. Russian attacks still target Ukrainian cities Trump notice to Putin In social networks: “Vladimir, Stop!”
Does Ukraine give up Crimea?
Trump is believed to be yes.
“Crimea will be with Russia” he said Time magazine On April 22. “And Jelensky understands it, and everyone understands that it has been with them for a long time,” Trump continued.
Russia first attacked Crimea in 2014, but despite moral anger and sanctions, it did not face other consequences when it tried to attack the rest of Ukraine by 2022. Ceasefire proposal Trump seems to have begun from the idea that Russia controls Crimea.
Jelensky has publicly rejected the idea of assigning territory.
But other important Ukrainians seem to be ready for this idea. Former boxing champion Kiev Mayor Vitali Clitsco told the BBC that he did not participate in the debates, but it may be necessary to give up the guilt.
“It’s not fair. But for peace, temporary peace, perhaps it can be a temporary solution,” said Clitshko.
Will the concession in Crimea lead to peace plan?
Washington post columnist David Ignore, if the Crimea queries over both sides, the European forces will support Ukraine’s safety and, perhaps, perhaps, perhaps, perhaps, perhaps, perhaps, and maintain the nuclear factory.
Nick Paton Walsh, da CNNIt is not sure that it is unclear what Trump wants from Putin and will give up anything Russian. He wrote:
“The main problem is that Putin believes that time is in his favor and Trump has repeatedly stated that the time is going on. These two contradictory positions do not lead to a permanent agreement.
Kremlin may be smarter, it can pull small concessions from the White House, and slowly built a geographical political scenario. The first 90 days of Trump’s presidency and how much the world has already changed in favor of Moscow. ”
What is the US recognizing Crimea as part of Russia?
On Crimea, Russia violated international law as Ivana Kottosova CNN. Zelensky has so far rejected the idea of giving to Crimea, which violates the Ukraine constitution.
If US Crimea is recognized as Russian, they will repeatedly break the American word.
Report of Kottosov:
“Recognizing Crimea as part of Russia violates the Trump government’s 1994 Budapest memorandum in which Kiev has pledged to respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and boundaries instead of resigning to its nuclear weapons.
In the first Trump administration, the first Trump administration issued a statement by refusing to recognize Kremlin’s sovereignty arguments about the then Foreign Secretary Mike Pompio Crimea. ”
What does it mean if Putin can keep Crimea?
“This is basically disturbing the international order,” says the military analyst’s retired colonel sedric lighthen CNN Friday.
“In summary, what he did was to create a situation where he was returning to the 19th century, there was justice, and what he wanted was the same,” said Putin’s actions in the 1930s, comparing Nazi Germany to Chekoslovakia attack.
Ukrainians believe that Crimea is part of their country from the fall of the Soviet Union. For more than a decade taken by Russia, Putin worked to “write” Crimea.
There are also considerations on resources as other controversial parts of Crimea and Ukraine are rich in oil, natural gas and other resources. Finally, the Crimea is on the banks of the Black Sea and provides important strategic interests to Russia.
If Jelensky did not give up and the US was given, how were they threatened and withdrawn?
According to senior researcher and former US National Intelligence Officer Andrea Kendal-Tellar for the Center for the new US Security and former US National Intelligence Officer Andrea Kendal-Tellar for the new US Security, is still a question that no one has a clear understanding. “
“This means that the United States is no longer involved in the embassy in order to conclude the war? Or does the United States pack and go home completely, including the end of the rest of the military assistance?” CNN.
Will Ukraine still fight without US support?
Ukraine depends on US support, especially air protection and intelligence. But it also built its own resources and represents Europe.
“If the United States packed and withdraws, the Ukrainians will not stop fighting,” said Kendal-Teller.
He said that most of the Russian soldiers at this time of Ukrainian drones are causing casualties. Ukrainians are also producing long -ranz drones that can reach Russia, which means that Ukraine “Putin may prefer to convince Putin that he cannot be indefinitely not in this conflict.
Putin has any encouragement to end the war?
“Not more” according to Kendal-Teller. “That’s why we have seen a lot of interest towards him to make any progress towards war.”
“Continuing winding is really in his interest, trying to prove that they are cooperating with (Russia), so they can protect the US-Russian relationship,” he said.
“The desired result (by Putin) is to protect this relationship and leave the United States Ukraine,” she added.
Will Europe fill the void left by the US?
The former State Department Department and Ukraine Michael Kimmage, which runs the Kennon Institute at the Wilson Center, now that the US Congress is unlikely to take more expenses to help Ukraine, and that Europe, especially Germany, is collecting this void.
“It’s deeply,” he said of the change in Germany that preferred security in his expense.
“In a way, Trump is making German foreign policy, and (US) needs to move forward as soon as possible in the direction of independence.
“If Germany spends a trillion dollars in the next two years, most of it will go to Ukraine, or a guarantee to support Ukraine,” he said.
But this is a change that takes time.
“It does not mean that the German United States can be replaced by the short-term position, but it is an undesirable and basic anti-ananty-anante-anant-aunt-aunt-aant-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunt-aunty.
